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The Atlanta Fed's macroblog provides commentary on economic topics including monetary policy, macroeconomic developments, financial issues and Southeast regional trends.

Authors for macroblog are Dave Altig and other Atlanta Fed economists.


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June 15, 2006


No More Questions About The June FOMC Meeting

The aftermath of the inflation report on market expectations about what the FOMC will do next:

 

June_21

 

For the first time in our estimates, the probability that the funds rate target will be pushed to 5.5% by the time the August FOMC meeting is done exceeds the implied probability of a pause sometime this summer (if only by a little):

 

August_8 

The details and the data will be available later this morning at the Federal Reserve Bank of Clevelandf website.

UPDATE: Calculated Risk agrees: "The June Fed Debate Appears Over".

June 15, 2006 in Fed Funds Futures, Federal Reserve and Monetary Policy, Inflation | Permalink

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Comments

I agree that the FED will raise rates at the next meeting in June, I jsut did a big analysis of the FED next moves on my blog.

It will be interesting to see what happens after that June 29.

There is a list of prominent names that have high forecasts for the next moves: Barclays with 6 % by year end, Lehman Brothers with a forecast of 5.75 per cent, JPMorgan and Credit Suisse, with a 6 per cent peak but both expect that rate some time next year.

Posted by: fxkingg | June 24, 2006 at 10:56 AM

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